Fantasy AFL: Who to Buy and Sell Before R5 | Top Picks, Bets & Break-Even Beams (2026)

Fantasy Stocktake: Who to Buy and Sell Ahead of Round 5

The fantasy football landscape is ever-evolving, and with Round 5 on the horizon, it's time to take a critical look at the players who are soaring and those who are struggling. Here's a breakdown of who to buy, who to sell, and why.

Buying

Brodie Grundy (RUC, $999,000)

Grundy is a force to be reckoned with, and his performance against West Coast was a testament to that. With 28 disposals, four marks, and a goal, he dominated the stat sheet and reminded everyone of his premium status. His breakeven of 91 is a steal, especially with a favorable match-up against the Suns ahead.

Max Gawn (RUC, $1,209,000)

Gawn is a top-dollar player, but his numbers speak for themselves. Averaging 124.5, he's a reliable choice, especially with a favorable run of games ahead, including match-ups with the Bombers, Tigers, and Eagles. While he's a significant investment, his potential return makes him a strategic pick.

Kysaiah Pickett (FWD, $949,000)

Pickett is a valuable asset, especially with the drop-off in forward line performance. His forward status and impressive possession-gathering make him a must-have, especially with a breakeven of 72 and an easy match-up against the Bombers.

James Leake (DEF/FWD, $288,000)

Leake is a talented player who has forced his way into the GWS side. With 63 disposals and six marks in his season debut, he's a cash cow with a breakeven of 11. The Giants' possession-heavy style suits him, and his 20-year-old age adds to his appeal.

Selling

Tim English (RUC, $1,051,000)

English's MCL injury is a significant concern, and with a diagnosis that typically requires weeks to heal, it's time to move on. His performance has been underwhelming, and his breakeven of 149 is a red flag.

Darcy Parish (MID, $720,000)

Parish's season-low 56 is a cause for concern. With a breakeven of 82 and a season average dropping to 68, coaches are offloading him at a rapid rate. It's a risky move, but with a potential for a higher ceiling, it might be worth considering.

Lachy Blakiston (DEF, $448,000)

Blakiston's season-low 33 is a disappointment, especially with a breakeven of 37. His average has dropped to 48.5, and it's time to consider a trade, especially if you're looking to generate faster cash.

Zak Butters (MID, $1,038,000)

Butters has struggled to capitalize on his easy run of games, managing just one triple-figure score in four outings. With a breakeven of 112 and a tag target in St Kilda, it's a risky move to keep him.

Jack Carroll (MID, $479,000)

Carroll's breakeven of 30 is not a significant concern, but with a potential for a higher ceiling, coaches are jumping ship to generate faster cash. His average of 59.3 is respectable, but the potential for a trade is there.

Conclusion

Round 5 promises to be an exciting one, with players rising and falling based on their performances. It's a delicate balance between buying high-potential players and selling those who are underperforming. Remember, fantasy football is a game of strategy and adaptability, and staying ahead of the curve is key.

Fantasy AFL: Who to Buy and Sell Before R5 | Top Picks, Bets & Break-Even Beams (2026)
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